a curious girl in a curious world..

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7th April 2008

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Above are the answers (taken from various 10-K’s on sec.gov). So how did you score? You should have scored a 9 out of 10, given that this is a 90% confidence interval. Anything lower indicates overconfidence - you think you know more than you actually do, and thus you made your high and low bounds too tight. The administrator of the test (in various forms - different questions, genre, etc) has given it to over 5,000 people internationally. Of those 5,000 people, only 8 scored a 9/10 (with no one scoring a 10/10). When I took a similar test, only 6 of the actual answers fell within my interval :(

Above are the answers (taken from various 10-K’s on sec.gov). So how did you score? You should have scored a 9 out of 10, given that this is a 90% confidence interval. Anything lower indicates overconfidence - you think you know more than you actually do, and thus you made your high and low bounds too tight.

The administrator of the test (in various forms - different questions, genre, etc) has given it to over 5,000 people internationally. Of those 5,000 people, only 8 scored a 9/10 (with no one scoring a 10/10). When I took a similar test, only 6 of the actual answers fell within my interval :(